MakeMe Estimate: $3.16M (estimated market value), with a likely range of $2.53M to $3.75M (half of recent verified sales in this segment landed inside that range). Computed as the county's full cash value of $2,292,713 times a 1.38 market ratio, measured from 3891 verified arm's-length sale prices vs county values (retail sales in Mesa, through 2026-06-29). Not an appraisal. How this estimate works.
lower confidence: 0 comparable sales within 3 miles; nearest 3.9 mi. This property type carries wider measured error; treat the estimate as a starting point. Recent sale check: this building sold for $2,950,000 in 2023; the estimate is about 7% apart. Treat the recorded trade as strong evidence alongside the model. Comparable-sale caveat: the estimate is 97% above the $507.22/SF median of the shown comparable sales.
Recorded arm's-length sales of similar buildings nearby; nearer and more recent sales rank first. Buyer and seller names are withheld. Get this data via API.
Market context: Retail in Mesa
median verified sale $268.13/SF over the trailing 24 months; 54 sales in the last 12 months and 111 in 24 (newest verified sale 2026-04); the middle 80% of recent sales traded at 0.80x to 2.41x their county full cash value, median 1.38x (109 sales with usable county values).
2022: $302.66/SF median (54 sales)
2023: $217.71/SF median (43 sales)
2024: $243.31/SF median (45 sales)
2025: $288.31/SF median (61 sales)
2026 YTD: $261.64/SF median (12 sales)
This estimate sits at 1.38x county full cash value, the 50th percentile of those recent sale premiums.
Computed from 849 verified arm's-length sales in Maricopa County public records (111 in the trailing 24 months). Free public records. Not an appraisal.
Last sold: 2023-11-01 for $2,950,000 (recorded arm's-length sale).
Current ownership dates to 2023 (about 3 years) per recorded transfers.
2023-11-01: $2,950,000 from P202 Phase 3 Retail LLC to Burford Family Farming Company LP/Julia Burfo, rec. 230595302
Source: Maricopa County recorded sales extract; buyer and seller shown only when a company or organization. Individual names are withheld.
Value over time
Dark line: county assessed value per Maricopa County tax rolls. Blue line: our estimate; dashed years are a modeled backcast built from recorded arm's-length sales in the building's segment, not estimates published at the time, and years without enough sales stay unmodeled. The shaded range is the model's measured error band; about half of verified sales in the segment land inside it. Diamonds: recorded arm's-length sales. Not an appraisal. How this estimate works.
Land, site, and value history
Assessed value moved from $2,263,399 (2026) to $2,292,714 (2027), up 1% over 1 years, per county tax rolls. The 2027 roll splits $2,292,714 into $1,280,600 land and $1,012,113 improvements.